A combination of two comparative novelties to Japanese audiences, television and American wrestling, brought out a tremendous crowd of fans watching the bouts on an outdoor screen in Tokyo on February 21, 1954. NTV televised the bouts between visiting American wrestlers and Japanese opponents. The crowd that completely filed and jammed the street cheered, booed and applauded as if they were right at the ringside. (AP Photo/Max Desfor)
This is pretty nuts. Among the accurate predictions pointed out in Stand on Zanzibar:
(4) The most powerful U.S. rival is no longer the Soviet Union, but China. However, much of the competition between the U.S. and Asia is played out in economics, trade, and technology instead of overt warfare.
(10) Motor vehicles increasingly run on electric fuel cells. Honda (primarily known as a motorcycle manufacturers when Brunner wrote his book) is a major supplier, along with General Motors.
(11) Yet Detroit has not prospered, and is almost a ghost town because of all the shuttered factories. However. a new kind of music — with an uncanny resemblance to the actual Detroit techno movement of the 1990s — has sprung up in the city.
Malthus argued that the human population would increase exponentially (1, 2, 4, 16, 32, 64, 128) and the food production would only increase arithmetically (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8). Malthus urged for population checks to be placed, however many people of his time rejected this theory. Even though Malthus was aware that the population was increasing drastically, he understood that the growth could only be slowed, so his nightmares would eventually become inevitable. The insection of population and food on the diagram represents the point of crisis where ramifcation will have to be met and will cause premature death.
The economist Henry George argued that Malthus didn’t provide any evidence of a natural tendency for a population to overwhelm its ability to provide for itself. George wrote that even the main body of Malthus’ work refuted this theory; that examples given show social causes for misery, such as “ignorance and greed… bad government, unjust laws, or war,” rather than insufficient food production.
Friedrich Engels also criticizes the Malthusian catastrophe because Malthus failed to see that surplus population is connected to surplus wealth, surplus capital, and surplus landed property. Population is large where the overall productive power is large. Engels also states that the calculation that Malthus made with the difference in population and productive power is incorrect because Malthus does not take into consideration a third element, science. Scientific “progress is as unlimited and at least as rapid as that of population”.